Scenario Analysis
Each case re-runs the full forecast, DCF and LBO with its own assumptions. Nothing is copied between cases.
Assumption
Validation (5)
- Unable to calculate: current share price must be positive.
- Unable to calculate: shares outstanding must be positive.
- Shares outstanding must be positive.
- Unable to calculate: at least one comparable company is required.
- Unable to calculate: shares outstanding must be positive.
Bear growth / margin
2.0% / 18.5%
Scenario assumptions
Base growth / margin
6.0% / 21.3%
Scenario assumptions
Bull growth / margin
9.0% / 23.8%
Scenario assumptions
Current price
$0.00
Upside comparison base
Scenario Assumptions
Flat annual assumptions applied across the forecast period
| Assumption | Bear Case | Base Case | Bull Case |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (p.a.) | |||
| EBITDA Margin | |||
| WACC | |||
| Capex % of Revenue | |||
| LBO Exit Multiple |
Scenario Outcomes
Calculated outputs — all figures recalculate from the assumptions above
| Output | Bear Case | Base Case | Bull Case |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue — 2031E | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| EBITDA — 2031E | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| EBITDA Margin | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow — 2031E | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Enterprise Value (DCF) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Equity Value (DCF) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Implied Share Price | — | — | — |
| Upside / (Downside) | — | — | — |
| LBO MOIC | 1.64x | 2.12x | 2.60x |
| LBO IRR | 10.4% | 16.2% | 21.0% |
Scenario outcomes illustrate the sensitivity of the analysis to assumptions. The spread between cases is not a probability distribution and no case is more likely than another.